central bank issued digital currency Top Overview

2024-12-13 11:57:58

Current A-shares: The upward momentum is still the same, so we need to be cautious in chasing up —— Investment suggestion of technical schoolWith regard to consumption, everyone knows the current consumption situation. The capital speculation, education, pet economy, cinema, snacks, millet economy, and the concept of Pinduoduo and Tik Tok are also confirming this logic. When I have time, I can talk more about the dilemma we are facing. That is to say, you should not just watch the excitement, but understand the current consumption situation, which is no longer a house, a car, home appliances, and a rough road.Everyone knows that consumption is the face of the king of consumption-liquor plate, but if I show you the weekly chart of liquor plate, you will understand why I have always been cautious about this plate.


The weekly chart shows that liquor has been in such a downward channel, so the two red points circled by me in the chart, one is the high point on October 8 and the other is the high point on November 12, corresponding to the market turnover of 3 trillion and 2.6 trillion respectively at that time, and liquor will face this pressure again tomorrow. If its turnover cannot exceed before, it will not be able to break through this trend line. Then, with the news of the meeting, I have doubts about the sustainability of the whole consumption sector. Even if it can rise tomorrow and Friday, I am worried that it is taking advantage of the megaphone effect on the weekend. After all, consumption is the sector that can't afford scrutiny, the most uncertain performance and the most fantastic speculation.It is still a potential track that has not been paid attention to by the market, or an opportunity for low-end stocks in popular tracks to make up. A really good hunter is good at observation, patience and waiting.Today, when I saw that those who sell kitchen utensils, diapers, pine nuts and duck necks are all soaring, I saw that more of them are risks. I don't think these things are going to be reversed. This kind of hype must be that risks outweigh opportunities. I have read all three of their quarterly reports, and it is definitely an indescribable dangerous smell.


So how should we treat the opportunities and risks in the current market? Let me tell you my views.I'm very sorry, I stopped for one day yesterday, on the one hand, because I was suddenly sleepy, but more importantly, I don't think there is anything to worry about on the disk. My previous article was very clear, that is, I looked at the continuous repair of the positive line and reversed the negative line on Tuesday.Then the recent pressure level of the market is around 22.20, that is, the position of the high point of the average stock price, which is also the target position of the W-bottom shape. There is still room for the market to go up, so there is no doubt that the relationship between volume and price is almost perfect today, the stock price is going up, and the volume and energy can keep up with the average of five days and ten days, so we can safely hold shares until it rises.

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